Poor economic situation causes shadow economy to continue increase.
As a result of the weak growth of the official economy and increasing unemployment, the shadow economy in Germany will continue to rise in 2025. The avoidance of cold progression and the relatively small increase in the minimum wage counteract this trend, but can only slow it down slightly. According to the forecast, the size of the shadow economy will increase in nominal terms to 511 billion euros, which is an increase of 6.1 % compared to the previous year. Adjusted for prices, the increase is 3.8 %. The ratio of the forecast shadow economy to measured gross domestic product (GDP) will increase to 11.5 per cent.