Baden-Württemberg

News

Press release December 22, 2021

Fourth Quarter 2021: Nowcast and Forecast of GDP for Baden-Württemberg - Zero Growth Remains for the Time Being (in German).

The economic recovery from the Corona crisis is receding further into the distance in Baden-Württemberg. According to the latest nowcast from the IAW and the University of Hohenheim, Baden-Württemberg's gross domestic product (GDP) declined by 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021 compared with the third quarter of 2021 after adjusting for prices and seasonal factors. The third quarter had already developed weaker than expected. According to the forecast for the two subsequent quarters, the weak development will continue into 2022. However, all current forecasts are still subject to considerable uncertainty due to the severe economic dislocations during the Corona pandemic, as the further forecast intervals show.


Press release September 29, 2021

Emerging from the Corona Crisis with Slower Growth - Nowcast and Forecast of GDP for Baden-Württemberg (in German).

According to current estimates, Baden-Württemberg's gross domestic product (GDP) will grow by 1.7 percent in the third quarter of 2021 compared with the second quarter of 2021, adjusted for price and seasonal effects. This means that the positive economic development of the second quarter has continued in the summer of 2021. According to the forecast for the two subsequent quarters, however, this development will weaken. Growth rates around zero are expected for the fall and winter of 2021/22. All these forecasts are subject to considerable uncertainty due to the severe economic dislocations during the Corona pandemic.


Publications

Isabell Göbel, Günther Klee Eine empirische Analyse auf der Basis des IAB-Betriebspanels Baden-Württemberg, IAW-Kurzbericht 2/2020


Anne Zühlke, Günther Klee Eine empirische Analyse auf der Basis des IAB-Betriebspanels Baden-Württemberg, IAW-Kurzbericht 1/2020


Tobias Brändle, Anne Zühlke Eine empirische Analyse auf der Basis des IAB-Betriebspanels Baden-Württemberg sowie verknüpfter Linked-Employer-Employee Daten, IAW-Kurzbericht 5/2019


Günther Klee, Rolf Kleimann Eine empirische Analyse auf der Basis des IAB-Betriebspanels Baden-Württemberg, IAW-Kurzbericht 2/2019


Bernhard Boockmann, René Kalweit, Günther Klee, Matthias Lücke, Tobias Scheu, Khira Sippli, Tobias Stöhr Forschungsbericht 539 des BMAS, Januar 2020